Mathematical models for combat simulation

Origin, evolution and main limitations

The most used combat simulation games (wargaming) are based on mathematical models that always have shortcomings. Image - Mitch Reed
The most used combat simulation games (wargaming) are based on mathematical models that always have shortcomings. Image - Mitch Reed.

Current armies, the prospective on which they base a good part of their acquisition plans, doctrinal changes and many other critical aspects are not fully understood if we do not pay attention to the role that mathematical models play in combat simulation. These allow the development of credible war games on the basis of which planners can determine the type and number of forces necessary to guarantee victory, if necessary, and, more important than this, deterrence, so that the opportunity does not arise for having to confront theory with reality. Despite this, and the efforts that have been made in the last century, mathematical models for combat simulation are still insufficient to capture the complexity of the battlefield, which forces us to redouble efforts as it is a capital area.

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