Beyond the Gray Zone

The US and controlling escalation in the China Sea

One of the several islets that the People's Republic of China is converting into authentic advanced air-naval bases

In recent years, experts have debated at length about the inability of the US - and the West by extension - to respond credibly to actions that, aimed at reversing the international order but not serious enough to provoke a conflict armed, were not susceptible to military response. Focused on the "Gray Zone" of the conflict spectrum, they are, despite the importance given to them, nothing more than another twist on the classic "from the weak to the strong" strategies. Confronting them does not require complex tactics or new concepts, but forces us to focus on the situation that has given rise to these practices: The reinforcement of conventional capabilities by revisionist powers such as the People's Republic of China or the Federation Russia, capable of establishing A2/AD zones that impose an unprecedented cost on any intervention, causing the paralysis of actors such as the US or Japan, which in other circumstances would use force - or the threat of force - to stop to the aforementioned powers. Although still timid, actors such as the US Navy are already taking steps to solve this situation of disadvantage, developing the first theoretical approaches and investing in new weapons that allow them to transform the operational environment in their favor, allowing deterrence. credible in the face of Chinese coercion.

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